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Celeste vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Celeste and Simba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Celeste
35%
Draws
41%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Celeste's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Celeste Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celeste Simba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Simba
1:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Celeste
1:1
Jun 28, 2023 Ligue 1
Simba vs Celeste
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celeste 32 / 100
Simba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celeste Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Celeste stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Celeste's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celeste VS Simba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celeste

(Home)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
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Simba

(Away)
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)