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Celeste vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Celeste and Simba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Celeste
20%
Draws
38%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Celeste's recent run of results.
  • Celeste are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Celeste Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celeste Simba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Simba
1:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Celeste
1:1
Jun 28, 2023 Ligue 1
Simba vs Celeste
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celeste 42 / 100
Simba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celeste Simba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Celeste stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Celeste's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celeste VS Simba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe1493225:730
2Aigles du Congo1485121:1029
3AS Maniema1472516:1623
4AS Vita Club1454511:1219
5St Eloi Lupopo1446411:918
6Don Bosco1445513:1717
7Simba142579:1811
8Celeste1404108:254