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Celje vs Hajduk Split

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sego M.
31'
Sub
Kolar L. In: Frelih Z.
Out: Kolar L.
38'
Sub
Kucys A. In: Kotnik A.
Out: Kucys A.

AI Match Summary

Hajduk Split in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Celje
6%
Draws
90%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Celje haven't matched Hajduk Split's recent run of results.
  • Hajduk Split are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hajduk Split have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Celje Clean Sheet 16%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Hajduk Split
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Celje vs Hajduk Split
0:1
Jan 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Hajduk Split vs Celje
2:0
Jul 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Celje vs Hajduk Split
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Sego M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 10 / 100
Hajduk Split 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Hajduk Split

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celje scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Celje has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hajduk Split let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Hajduk Split
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%