Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celje vs Maribor

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Celje Logo

Celje

1 - 1
FT
Maribor Logo

Maribor

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Repas Z.
Assist: Mlakar J.
46'
Sub
Ivansek M. In: Sirvys P.
Out: Ivansek M.
46'
Sub
Calusic I. In: Kvesic M.
Out: Calusic I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Celje
20%
Draws
63%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Celje have won more games recently than Maribor.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Maribor taking it.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Celje Clean Sheet 17%
Maribor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Maribor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.72 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Maribor
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Maribor
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Celje
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Maribor
3:0
Jul 20, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Celje
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Repas Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 10 / 100
Maribor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Maribor has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Celje stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Maribor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
Page 1 of 6

Maribor

(Away)
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
23 Aug
Maribor
3 : 1
Bravo
15 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 9 5 4 0 17:6 19
2 Bravo 9 4 3 2 10:9 15
3 Koper 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
4 O. Ljubljana 9 4 2 3 9:6 14
5 Nafta 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
6 Aluminij 9 3 3 3 14:9 12
7 Celje 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
8 Mura 9 2 2 5 10:21 8
9 Grosuplje 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Radomlje 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)