Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celje vs Maribor

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Repas Z.
Assist: Mlakar J.
46'
Sub
Ivansek M. In: Sirvys P.
Out: Ivansek M.
46'
Sub
Calusic I. In: Kvesic M.
Out: Calusic I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Celje
40%
Draws
29%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Celje have won more games recently than Maribor.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Celje Clean Sheet 16%
Maribor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Maribor
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Maribor
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Maribor
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Celje
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Maribor
3:0
Jul 20, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Celje
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Repas Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 31 / 100
Maribor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Celje has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Maribor has conceded goals in 60% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Maribor
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2
KF Egnatia
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3
Celje
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2
Mura
11 Jul
Celje
1 : 1
Istra 1961
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3
MTK Budapest
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Maribor

(Away)
25 Jul
Maribor
3 : 0
Grosuplje
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
10 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1
Charlton
04 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1
Zeleznicar Pancevo
01 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
3 : 3
Maribor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maribor21103:04
2Koper21104:24
3Mura21103:24
4Nafta21013:23
5Grosuplje21012:33
6Bravo21012:33
7Celje10102:21
8Aluminij10100:01
9Radomlje20112:41
10O. Ljubljana20020:30
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)