Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celje vs Mura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Celje Logo

Celje

2 - 2
FT
Mura Logo

Mura

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Butic S.
21' Event
Kasalo N.
Assist: Kouter N.
24'
Kucys A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Celje
30%
Draws
23%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celje lately — more wins on the board than Mura.
  • Celje are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Celje Clean Sheet 20%
Mura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Mura
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs Celje
0:0
Jul 17, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Mura
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs Celje
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Mura
5:1
Oct 26, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs Celje
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Seslar S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasalo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ascic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 58 / 100
Mura 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Mura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Mura let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Mura registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Mura
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
Page 1 of 6

Mura

(Away)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)