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Celle Varazze vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Piacenza T.
58'
Donaggio L.

AI Match Summary

Cairese in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Celle Varazze
15%
Draws
14%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celle Varazze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celle Varazze lately — more wins on the board than Cairese.
  • Model gives Celle Varazze a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 68%
Cairese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze Cairese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Cairese
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Celle Varazze
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Piacenza T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 95 / 100
Cairese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celle Varazze Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Celle Varazze stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Celle Varazze scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Cairese has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS Cairese
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Celle Varazze
2 : 0
Varese FC
02 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 3
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)