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Celle Varazze vs Chisola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pereira L.
47' Event
Own Goal
64' Event
Hrom D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Chisola in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Celle Varazze
20%
Draws
80%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chisola lately — more wins on the board than Celle Varazze.
  • Chisola are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chisola have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 16%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze Chisola
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Chisola
0:4
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Celle Varazze
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Chisola
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hrom D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 10 / 100
Chisola 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celle Varazze scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Chisola let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Away concern: Chisola has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS Chisola
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
04 Oct
Celle Varazze
0 : 4
Chisola
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 6

Chisola

(Away)
04 Oct
Celle Varazze
0 : 4
Chisola
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)