Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celle Varazze vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Balan G.
30' Event
Pigato R.
77' Event
Capra E.

AI Match Summary

Celle Varazze in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celle Varazze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Celle Varazze
15%
Draws
65%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Celle Varazze at 1.13 per game, Gozzano at 1.1.
  • Gozzano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 22%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze Gozzano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Gozzano
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Celle Varazze
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Balan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capra E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pigato R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 10 / 100
Gozzano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Celle Varazze scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Gozzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Celle Varazze remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS Gozzano
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

Gozzano

(Away)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
3 : 0
GSD Lascaris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)