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Celle Varazze vs Varese FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Donaggio L.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Capra E.

AI Match Summary

Celle Varazze in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celle Varazze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Celle Varazze
20%
Draws
58%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varese FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Varese FC have won more games recently than Celle Varazze.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Varese FC taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 18%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze Varese FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Varese FC
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs Celle Varazze
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Capra E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Varese FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 23 / 100
Varese FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze Varese FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celle Varazze's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Varese FC conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Celle Varazze went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS Varese FC
0.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
29% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

Varese FC

(Away)
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)