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Celle Varazze vs Varese FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Donaggio L.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Capra E.

AI Match Summary

Celle Varazze in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celle Varazze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Celle Varazze
6%
Draws
4%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Celle Varazze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Varese FC have won more games recently than Celle Varazze.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Celle Varazze taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 68%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celle Varazze Varese FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Varese FC
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs Celle Varazze
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Capra E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Varese FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celle Varazze 95 / 100
Varese FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celle Varazze Varese FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Celle Varazze stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Celle Varazze found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Varese FC let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Celle Varazze VS Varese FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celle Varazze

(Home)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Celle Varazze
2 : 0
Varese FC
02 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 3
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

Varese FC

(Away)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
09 May
AS Biellese
1 : 2
Varese FC
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Saluzzo
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)