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Celoricense vs Tirsense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gomes F. E.
46' Event
Shuabiu N.
62' Event
Takahashi T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Celoricense and Tirsense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celoricense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Celoricense
20%
Draws
60%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Tirsense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 16%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celoricense Tirsense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Tirsense
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Tirsense
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Celoricense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celoricense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes F. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Takahashi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Shuabiu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celoricense 23 / 100
Tirsense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celoricense Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Tirsense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Celoricense found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Tirsense has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celoricense VS Tirsense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celoricense

(Home)
01 Nov
Celoricense
0 : 0
Rebordosa
25 Oct
AD Limianos
3 : 2
Celoricense
11 Oct
Celoricense
0 : 0
Vila Mea
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

Tirsense

(Away)
01 Nov
GD Braganca
0 : 1
Tirsense
25 Oct
Tirsense
3 : 5
Maia Lidador
11 Oct
Braga B
3 : 2
Tirsense
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)