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Celoricense vs Tirsense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celoricense host Tirsense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Celoricense at 1.1 goals for, 0.83 against; Tirsense at 1.32 for, 0.82 against. Head-to-head, Celoricense have won 0 to Tirsense's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.44 vs 0.69, favoring Celoricense. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Celoricense
35%
Draws
27%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Celoricense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Celoricense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 20%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celoricense Tirsense
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 12
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Tirsense
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Celoricense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celoricense 36 / 100
Tirsense 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celoricense Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Celoricense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Celoricense found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Tirsense has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celoricense VS Tirsense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celoricense

(Home)
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
18 Apr
Camacha
1 : 2
Celoricense
12 Apr
Celoricense
0 : 0
Machico
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Tirsense

(Away)
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
12 Apr
AD Limianos
0 : 0
Tirsense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirsense 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 AD Limianos 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 CDC Montalegre 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 Vila Mea 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 GD Braganca 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Braga B 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Celoricense 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Ponte da Barca 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Maria de Fonte 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Chaves B 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Maia Lidador 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
12 Rebordosa 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
13 Brito 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
14 Vinhais 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)