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Celta Vigo B vs Osasuna B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Arrasate I. In: Yoldi A.
Out: Arrasate I.
37'
Arcos A.
58'
Espejo D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Celta Vigo B and Osasuna B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osasuna B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Celta Vigo B
15%
Draws
64%
Osasuna B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osasuna B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Osasuna B have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Celta Vigo B are scoring more at 1.53.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Osasuna B taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 17%
Osasuna B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo B Osasuna B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.53 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Osasuna B
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Celta Vigo B
1:1
May 4, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Osasuna B
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Celta Vigo B
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Osasuna B
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Osasuna B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedroarena M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo B 10 / 100
Osasuna B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo B Osasuna B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osasuna B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo B's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Osasuna B conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Celta Vigo B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo B VS Osasuna B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo B

(Home)
04 Oct
Gijon
3 : 2
Celta Vigo B
26 Sept
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Sabadell
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
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Osasuna B

(Away)
04 Oct
Osasuna B
2 : 0
Calamocha
27 Sept
Girona B
3 : 2
Osasuna B
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Ebro
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Osasuna B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)