Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Jutgla F.
Assist: Rodriguez J.
22'
22'
Pacheco J.
27'
27'
Alvarez H.
Assist: Jutgla F.
AI Match Summary
Alaves in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celta Vigo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Medium Confidence
- Celta Vigo have won more games recently than Alaves.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 68%
Alaves Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celta Vigo | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Alaves
3:4
Nov 22, 2025 LaLiga
Alaves vs Celta Vigo
0:1
Jan 27, 2025 LaLiga
Alaves vs Celta Vigo
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Alaves
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Celta Vigo
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celta Vigo Compare
Top Goalscorer Jutgla F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Alvarez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Alaves Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celta Vigo 41 / 100
Alaves 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celta Vigo Alaves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celta Vigo's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Celta Vigo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Alaves has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Celta Vigo VS Alaves
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Celta Vigo
(Home) 05 Aug
Sassuolo
1 : 4 Celta Vigo
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Gijon
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2 Celta Vigo
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Sevilla
Page 1 of 7
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Gijon
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Sevilla
12 May
Celta Vigo
2 : 3 Levante
03 May
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 Elche
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Alaves
(Away) 07 Aug
Racing Santander
1 : 2 Alaves
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0 Castellon
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1 Alaves
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1 Eibar
23 May
Alaves
1 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Racing Santander
1 : 2 Alaves
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1 Alaves
17 May
Real Oviedo
0 : 1 Alaves
09 May
Elche
1 : 1 Alaves
21 Apr
Real Madrid
2 : 1 Alaves
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
