Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo vs Levante

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jutgla F.
Assist: Alvarez H.
43' Event
Arriaga K.
Assist: Toljan J.
46'
Sub
Tunde K. In: Losada I.
Out: Tunde K.

AI Match Summary

Levante in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Celta Vigo
20%
Draws
36%
Levante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celta Vigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Very High Confidence
  • Levante have won more games recently than Celta Vigo.
  • Model gives Celta Vigo a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 16%
Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Levante
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Levante
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 LaLiga
Levante vs Celta Vigo
1:2
Feb 21, 2022 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Levante
1:1
Sep 21, 2021 LaLiga
Levante vs Celta Vigo
0:2
Apr 30, 2021 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Levante
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jutgla F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Arriaga K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de la Fuente A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 57 / 100
Levante 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Celta Vigo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Levante conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Levante
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
05 Aug
Sassuolo
1 : 4
Celta Vigo
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Gijon
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2
Celta Vigo
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

Levante

(Away)
05 Aug
Villarreal
1 : 0
Levante
01 Aug
Levante
2 : 1
Albacete
26 Jul
Levante
1 : 0
Al Qadsiah
17 Jul
Levante
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
11 Jul
Levante
2 : 1
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)