Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celtic vs AC Milan

World World

Club Friendly Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Duran C.
28' Event
Forrest J.
Assist: Duran C.
46'
Sub
McCowan L. In: Mcardle S.
Out: McCowan L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Celtic
33%
Draws
27%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than AC Milan.
  • Model gives Celtic a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AC Milan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic AC Milan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2020 Europa League
AC Milan vs Celtic
4:2
Oct 22, 2020 Europa League
Celtic vs AC Milan
1:3
Nov 26, 2013 Champions League
Celtic vs AC Milan
0:3
Sep 18, 2013 Champions League
AC Milan vs Celtic
2:0
Dec 4, 2007 Champions League
AC Milan vs Celtic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forrest J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

AC Milan Compare

Top Goalscorer Camarda F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 40 / 100
AC Milan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

AC Milan has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Celtic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS AC Milan
3 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Celtic
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1
Celtic
23 May
Celtic
3 : 1
Dunfermline
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AC Milan

(Away)
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
17 May
Genoa
1 : 2
AC Milan
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
03 May
Sassuolo
2 : 0
AC Milan
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