Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celtic vs Dunfermline

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Maeda D.
Assist: Johnston A.
36' Event
Engels A.
Assist: McGregor C.
40'
Gilmour C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Celtic
30%
Draws
27%
Dunfermline
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dunfermline haven't matched Celtic's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Celtic taking it.
  • Celtic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Celtic, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Celtic Clean Sheet 68%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Dunfermline
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 23 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.16 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Scottish Cup
Celtic vs Dunfermline
3:1
Aug 17, 2019 League Cup
Celtic vs Dunfermline
2:1
Feb 22, 2012 Premiership
Celtic vs Dunfermline
2:0
Jan 2, 2012 Premiership
Dunfermline vs Celtic
0:3
Nov 23, 2011 Premiership
Celtic vs Dunfermline
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeda D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Engels A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 95 / 100
Dunfermline 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Celtic has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Dunfermline has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Dunfermline
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
19 Aug
Celtic
3 : 0
LASK Linz
15 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 4
Celtic
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0
Dundee FC
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
Page 1 of 7

Dunfermline

(Away)
15 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 2
Ross County
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
26 Jul
St. Mirren
0 : 1
Dunfermline
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
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Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Lossiemouth 1
Formartine Utd 2
Huntly 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Stranraer -
TBD -
Glenafton 3
Invergordon 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
Clydebank FC 4
Newtongrange Star 1
East Stirlingshire 3
Boness Athletic 2
Keith 1
Linlithgow Rose 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Coldstream 2
Tayport FC 3
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Carluke Rovers FC 0
Gretna 2008 4
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Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
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Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
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Hamilton -
East Fife -
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Arbroath -
Livingston -
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St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Albion Rovers 1
Johnstone Burgh 4
Threave Rovers 0
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Stirling University 6
Burntisland Shipyard 2
Elgin City -
TBD -
Darvel FC 1
Deveronvale 3
Forres Mechanics 0
Caledonian Braves 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Musselburgh 2
Bonnyton Thistle 0
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Forfar Athletic -
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Partick -
Wick Academy 5
Rothes 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Benburb 2
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Montrose -
Dunfermline -
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Queen of the South -
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Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
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Lochee United 1
Brechin 3
Civil Service Strollers 2
Dundonald Bluebell 3
St Johnstone -
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Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
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Raith -
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Alloa -
Motherwell -
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Boness United 0
Banks O' Dee 3
Brora Rangers 0
Fraserburgh 1
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TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
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Clachnacuddin 2
Kilwinning Rangers 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Sauchie 2
Peterhead -
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Morton -
Hearts -
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Falkirk -
Ayr -
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Berwick 0
Nairn County 2
Turriff United 2
Hill Of Beath 1
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Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 4
Glasgow University 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Broxburn Athletic 1
Spartans -
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East Kilbride -
Tranent FC 3
Pollok 0
Strathspey Thistle 1
Dundee North End 2
TBD -
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Inverness -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde 2
Annan 3
Formartine Utd 0
Buckie Thistle 2
Stranraer 4
Glenafton 0
Clydebank FC 3
East Stirlingshire 1
Boness Athletic 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton 2
Tayport FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
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Hamilton -
East Fife -
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Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
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St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 1
Johnstone Burgh 0
Edinburgh City 1
Stirling University 0
Elgin City 2
Deveronvale 1
Caledonian Braves 3
Stirling 4
Musselburgh 1
Forfar Athletic 2
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
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Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Brechin 3
Dundonald Bluebell 1
St Johnstone -
TBD -
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Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
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Raith -
TBD -
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Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
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Banks O' Dee 4
Fraserburgh 0
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Sauchie 0
Peterhead -
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Morton -
Hearts -
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Falkirk -
Ayr -
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Nairn County 1
Turriff United 2
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Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Spartans 2
East Kilbride 1
Tranent FC 3
Dundee North End 0
TBD -
Inverness -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
Annan 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Stranraer 2
Clydebank FC 1
Linlithgow Rose 1
Queen's Park 3
Dumbarton 0
Auchinleck Talbot 4
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton 0
East Fife 0
Arbroath 2
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Edinburgh City 1
Elgin City 4
Stirling 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Partick 2
Benburb 0
Montrose 3
Dunfermline 2
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts 2
Brechin 0
St Johnstone 1
Cove Rangers 2
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Raith 1
Alloa 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 0
Ross County 2
Stenhousemuir 4
Clachnacuddin 1
Peterhead 2
Morton 3
Hearts -
TBD -
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Falkirk -
Ayr 3
Turriff United 0
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Spartans 2
Tranent FC 1
Inverness 2
1/16-finals
Rangers 5
Annan 0
Stranraer 2
Queen's Park 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee FC 2
Airdrieonians 4
Arbroath 3
Livingston 1
St. Mirren 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Elgin City 3
Partick 3
Montrose 1
Dunfermline 1
Hibernian 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Cove Rangers 1
Aberdeen 1
Raith 0
Motherwell 1
Ross County 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Falkirk 2
Ayr 0
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Inverness 0
1/8-finals
Rangers 8
Queen's Park 0
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Airdrieonians 1
St. Mirren 2
Elgin City 2
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Kelty Hearts 0
Aberdeen 2
Motherwell 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1
Dunfermline 3
Aberdeen 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 1
Semi-finals
Celtic 6
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 1
Falkirk 0
Final
Celtic 3
Dunfermline 1