Sport Picks

Celtic vs Dunfermline - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026 Hampden Park, Glasgow

Celtic

3 - 1

Dunfermline

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Maeda D.

Assist: Johnston A.

36'

Engels A.

Assist: McGregor C.

40'

Gilmour C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celtic in this Scottish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Celtic

15%

Draws

53%

Dunfermline

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Dunfermline haven't matched Celtic's recent run of results.
53% — that's where the model lands on Dunfermline taking it.
Celtic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Celtic, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Celtic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Celtic Clean Sheet 20%

Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Celtic	Dunfermline
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	20	13
Draws	3	7
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	2.1	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.31	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Scottish Cup

Celtic vs Dunfermline

3:1

Aug 17, 2019 League Cup

Celtic vs Dunfermline

2:1

Feb 22, 2012 Premiership

Celtic vs Dunfermline

2:0

Jan 2, 2012 Premiership

Dunfermline vs Celtic

0:3

Nov 23, 2011 Premiership

Celtic vs Dunfermline

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeda D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Engels A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 24 / 100

Dunfermline 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Celtic Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dunfermline's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Celtic has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Dunfermline

2 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)

20 Sept

Celtic

0 : 1

Rangers

17 Sept

Celtic

1 : 3

Ferencvaros

13 Sept

Rangers

3 : 0

Celtic

09 Sept

St Johnstone

0 : 1

Celtic

05 Sept

St. Mirren

1 : 2

Celtic

Page 1 of 6

Dunfermline

(Away)

03 Oct

Dunfermline

1 : 4

Aberdeen

19 Sept

Morton

0 : 1

Dunfermline

12 Sept

Dunfermline

2 : 0

Queen's Park

05 Sept

Arbroath

1 : 1

Dunfermline

28 Aug

Dunfermline

1 : 0

Raith

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Annan -

Lossiemouth 1

Formartine Utd 2

Huntly 1

Buckie Thistle 3

Stranraer -

TBD -

Glenafton 3

Invergordon 2

Jeanfield Swifts 0

Clydebank FC 4

Newtongrange Star 1

East Stirlingshire 3

Boness Athletic 2

Keith 1

Linlithgow Rose 2

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Coldstream 2

Tayport FC 3

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Cumnock Juniors 1

Carluke Rovers FC 0

Gretna 2008 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Albion Rovers 1

Johnstone Burgh 4

Threave Rovers 0

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Stirling University 6

Burntisland Shipyard 2

Elgin City -

TBD -

Darvel FC 1

Deveronvale 3

Forres Mechanics 0

Caledonian Braves 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Musselburgh 2

Bonnyton Thistle 0

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 5

Rothes 0

Cowdenbeath 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Lochee United 1

Brechin 3

Civil Service Strollers 2

Dundonald Bluebell 3

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Boness United 0

Banks O' Dee 3

Brora Rangers 0

Fraserburgh 1

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Kilwinning Rangers 1

Inverurie Loco Works 0

Sauchie 2

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Berwick 0

Nairn County 2

Turriff United 2

Hill Of Beath 1

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 4

Glasgow University 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Broxburn Athletic 1

Spartans -

TBD -

East Kilbride -

Tranent FC 3

Pollok 0

Strathspey Thistle 1

Dundee North End 2

TBD -

Inverness -

1/64-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde 2

Annan 3

Formartine Utd 0

Buckie Thistle 2

Stranraer 4

Glenafton 0

Clydebank FC 3

East Stirlingshire 1

Boness Athletic 0

Linlithgow Rose 2

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton 2

Tayport FC 0

Auchinleck Talbot 3

Gretna 2008 1

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 1

Johnstone Burgh 0

Edinburgh City 1

Stirling University 0

Elgin City 2

Deveronvale 1

Caledonian Braves 3

Stirling 4

Musselburgh 1

Forfar Athletic 2

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Brechin 3

Dundonald Bluebell 1

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 4

Fraserburgh 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Sauchie 0

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Nairn County 1

Turriff United 2

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Spartans 2

East Kilbride 1

Tranent FC 3

Dundee North End 0

TBD -

Inverness -

1/32-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Annan 4

Buckie Thistle 0

Stranraer 2

Clydebank FC 1

Linlithgow Rose 1

Queen's Park 3

Dumbarton 0

Auchinleck Talbot 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians 4

Hamilton 0

East Fife 0

Arbroath 2

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Edinburgh City 1

Elgin City 4

Stirling 2

Forfar Athletic 0

Partick 2

Benburb 0

Montrose 3

Dunfermline 2

Queen of the South 1

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts 2

Brechin 0

St Johnstone 1

Cove Rangers 2

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith 1

Alloa 0

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 0

Ross County 2

Stenhousemuir 4

Clachnacuddin 1

Peterhead 2

Morton 3

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr 3

Turriff United 0

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

Spartans 2

Tranent FC 1

Inverness 2

1/16-finals

Rangers 5

Annan 0

Stranraer 2

Queen's Park 1

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Celtic 2

Kilmarnock 1

Dundee FC 2

Airdrieonians 4

Arbroath 3

Livingston 1

St. Mirren 2

Camelon Juniors 1

Elgin City 3

Partick 3

Montrose 1

Dunfermline 1

Hibernian 0

Kelty Hearts 2

Cove Rangers 1

Aberdeen 1

Raith 0

Motherwell 1

Ross County 0

Stenhousemuir 4

Morton 0

Hearts 1

Falkirk 2

Ayr 0

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Inverness 0

1/8-finals

Rangers 8

Queen's Park 0

Celtic 2

Dundee FC 1

Airdrieonians 1

St. Mirren 2

Elgin City 2

Partick 3

Dunfermline 2

Kelty Hearts 0

Aberdeen 2

Motherwell 0

Stenhousemuir 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Quarter-finals

Rangers 0

Celtic 1

St. Mirren 2

Partick 1

Dunfermline 3

Aberdeen 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 1

Semi-finals

Celtic 6

St. Mirren 2

Dunfermline 1

Falkirk 0

Final

Celtic 3

Dunfermline 1

Celtic vs Dunfermline - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

Celtic

Dunfermline

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Celtic Compare

Dunfermline Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

Dunfermline

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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