Sport Picks

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Celtic vs Falkirk

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic Logo

Celtic

3 - 1
FT
Falkirk Logo

Falkirk

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Maeda D.
44' Event
Tierney K.
Assist: Maeda D.
62'
Sub
Forrest J. In: Tounekti S.
Out: Forrest J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celtic in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Celtic
30%
Draws
33%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Falkirk.
  • Win probability leans Celtic's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Celtic Clean Sheet 14%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Falkirk
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
3:1
Feb 1, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Celtic
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
4:0
Aug 15, 2025 League Cup
Celtic vs Falkirk
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeda D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tierney K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 39 / 100
Falkirk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Falkirk let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Celtic has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Falkirk
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0
Dundee FC
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Celtic
Page 1 of 7

Falkirk

(Away)
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
01 Aug
Falkirk
0 : 2
St. Mirren
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)