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Celtic vs Hearts

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic Logo

Celtic

3 - 1
FT
Hearts Logo

Hearts

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Johnston A.
38'
Steinwender M.
43' Event
Shankland L.
Assist: Kingsley S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Celtic and Hearts finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Celtic
15%
Draws
47%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts haven't matched Celtic's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hearts's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Hearts
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.18 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Hearts
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Celtic
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hearts
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Celtic
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hearts
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeda D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osmand C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Shankland L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 26 / 100
Hearts 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Hearts has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Hearts
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
26 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)