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Celtic vs Middlesbrough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Strelec D.
32' Event
Duran C.
46'
Sub
Oxlade-Chamberlain A. In: Hatate R.
Out: Oxlade-Chamberlain A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Celtic
20%
Draws
46%
Middlesbrough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Middlesbrough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic have won more games recently than Middlesbrough.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Middlesbrough
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 3 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Celtic vs Middlesbrough
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Middlesbrough Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelec D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 34 / 100
Middlesbrough 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Middlesbrough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Middlesbrough let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Celtic has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Middlesbrough
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
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Middlesbrough

(Away)
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Middlesbrough
4 : 3
Norwich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0
Middlesbrough
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1
Middlesbrough
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