Sport Picks

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Celtic vs Motherwell

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Oxlade-Chamberlain A.
32' Event
Just E.
Assist: Slattery C.
38' Event
Yang Hyun-Jun

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Celtic and Motherwell finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Celtic
35%
Draws
38%
Motherwell
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motherwell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtic come out ahead of Motherwell on wins alone.
  • 27% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celtic have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Celtic Clean Sheet 16%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Motherwell
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Celtic
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Motherwell
3:1
Dec 30, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Celtic
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Motherwell
3:2
Feb 2, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Celtic
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Hyun-Jun
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Motherwell Compare

Top Goalscorer Just E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 30 / 100
Motherwell 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Motherwell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Celtic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Motherwell let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Motherwell
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0
Dundee FC
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell

(Away)
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1
Motherwell
02 Aug
Hibernian
1 : 2
Motherwell
30 Jul
HB Torshavn
0 : 3
Motherwell
23 Jul
Motherwell
2 : 0
HB Torshavn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hearts 33 21 7 5 58:28 70
2 Rangers 33 19 12 2 66:31 69
3 Celtic 33 21 4 8 59:35 67
4 Motherwell 33 14 12 7 52:29 54
5 Hibernian 33 13 12 8 51:37 51
6 Falkirk 33 13 7 13 45:48 46
7 Dundee Utd 33 9 13 11 45:54 40
8 Aberdeen 33 9 6 18 33:48 33
9 Dundee FC 33 8 9 16 34:53 33
10 St. Mirren 33 7 9 17 27:48 30
11 Kilmarnock 33 6 10 17 37:65 28
12 Livingston 33 1 13 19 35:66 16
Promotion - Premiership 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)