Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celtiga vs Dubra SD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Celtiga and Dubra SD finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Celtiga
20%
Draws
64%
Dubra SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dubra SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Celtiga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Celtiga a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 20%
Dubra SD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Dubra SD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Dubra SD
3:1
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dubra SD vs Celtiga
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 42 / 100
Dubra SD 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Dubra SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dubra SD conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Celtiga's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Dubra SD has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Dubra SD

(Away)
14 May
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Dubra SD
07 May
Dubra SD
3 : 2
Barbadas-Bentraces
30 Apr
SD Negreira
3 : 3
Dubra SD
23 Apr
Dubra SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
13 Apr
CD Choco
2 : 0
Dubra SD
Page 1 of 6