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Celtiga vs Estradense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Arnosi P. S.
52' Event
Gomez R.
90' Event
Rey J.

AI Match Summary

Celtiga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celtiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Celtiga
15%
Draws
85%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estradense lately — more wins on the board than Celtiga.
  • Estradense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 15%
Estradense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Estradense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Estradense
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Celtiga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnosi P. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 27 / 100
Estradense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtiga found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Estradense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Estradense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS Estradense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
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Estradense

(Away)
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Estradense
16 May
Estradense
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
01 May
Compostela
2 : 1
Estradense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)