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Celtiga vs Portonovo SD

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Celtiga and Portonovo SD finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Celtiga
6%
Draws
4%
Portonovo SD
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Celtiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtiga come out ahead of Portonovo SD on wins alone.
  • Celtiga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 16%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Portonovo SD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Portonovo SD
0:0
Dec 6, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Celtiga
1:1
Apr 6, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Portonovo SD
2:1
Nov 18, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Celtiga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 84 / 100
Portonovo SD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Portonovo SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Portonovo SD registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Celtiga scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Portonovo SD let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Portonovo SD

(Away)
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
08 May
SD Negreira
6 : 1
Portonovo SD
01 May
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
21 Apr
Alondras
4 : 0
Portonovo SD
17 Apr
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Compostela382510370:2685
2Montaneros382210668:4176
3CD Ourense382251174:4071
4Cerceda381971266:4764
5Naron3816101267:5558
6Lalin3813141136:3753
7Coruxo FC3814111348:3953
8Santa Comba3812141242:4750
9SD Negreira381481642:5250
10Alondras3812141248:4550
11Somozas3812101646:5946
12Celtiga3811121534:4645
13SD Ordenes3810151336:3545
14Verin CF3811121545:5845
15Rapido de Bouzas3811111638:5444
16Villalonga3811111649:5344
17Pontevedra B3811101736:4843
18Portonovo SD388151536:5139
19Arosa SC388111961:8335
20Gran Pena388102029:5534
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)