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Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski vs Gryfino

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2017/2018
Sun, Jun 3, 2018
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski play Gryfino in the III Liga - Group II 2017/2018. Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski are favorites here. Recently, Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Gryfino averaged 0.28 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. In past meetings, Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski won 2, Gryfino won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 3, 2018 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski and 1.25 for Gryfino. This points to a Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski
15%
Draws
19%
Gryfino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski picked up more points recently compared to Gryfino.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski Clean Sheet 19%
Gryfino Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski Gryfino
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.28
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski vs Gryfino
3:0
Nov 11, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Gryfino vs Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 63 / 100
Gryfino 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski Gryfino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski attacking → ← attacking Gryfino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Gryfino let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gryfino lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 10
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Elana Torun34245571:2477
2Swit Szczecin34234770:2773
3B. Gdynia34223974:3669
4Lech Poznan II34206869:3466
5KKS Kalisz34196952:3363
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34179863:4160
7Kleczew34178952:3259
8Kotwica Kolobrzeg341761148:3757
9Starogard Gdanski341561346:3251
10Pogon Szczecin II341471344:5449
11Jarocin341191445:5042
12KS Wierzyca Pelplin341261638:4742
13Wda Swiecie341051952:7235
14Gornik Konin34971840:6134
15Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski34952038:6732
16Przodkowo34742338:7525
17Unia Solec Kujawski34472333:8019
18Gryfino3425279:8011