Sport Picks

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Central Africa vs Mauritania

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Tanji H.
39' Event
Oualengbe Y.
90' Event
Guinari P.

AI Match Summary

Central Africa in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Central Africa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Central Africa
20%
Draws
51%
Mauritania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mauritania have won more games recently than Central Africa.
  • Mauritania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mauritania here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Central Africa Clean Sheet 19%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Africa Mauritania
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.77 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania vs Central Africa
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 African Nations Championship
Central Africa vs Mauritania
0:1
Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Central Africa vs Mauritania
2:1
Mar 30, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations
Central Africa vs Mauritania
0:1
Nov 19, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania vs Central Africa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Oualengbe Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guinari P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Mauritania Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanji H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Africa 10 / 100
Mauritania 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Africa Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Central Africa scored in 42% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Mauritania conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

Central Africa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Central Africa VS Mauritania
0.71 Goals Scored 0.25
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Africa

(Home)
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
08 Oct
Central Africa
0 : 5
Ghana
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Mauritania

(Away)
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
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