Sport Picks
Central Coast vs Macarthur FC
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Central Coast Stadium (Polytec), Gosford 
Match Events
54'
54'
Sub
Lavale O. In: James Ngor S.
Out: Lavale O.
61'
61'
Sub
Grzan S. In: Vickery L.
Out: Grzan S.
61'
61'
Sub
Sawyer H. In: Duke M.
Out: Sawyer H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macarthur FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Central Coast haven't matched Macarthur FC's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Macarthur FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 10%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Central Coast | Macarthur FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Central Coast
1:3
Jan 18, 2026 A-League
Central Coast vs Macarthur FC
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Macarthur FC
2:2
Dec 23, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Central Coast
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Central Coast
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Central Coast Compare
Top Goalscorer James Ngor S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Macarthur FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Vickery L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Central Coast 10 / 100
Macarthur FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Central Coast Macarthur FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Macarthur FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Central Coast's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Macarthur FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Macarthur FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Central Coast VS Macarthur FC
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Central Coast
(Home) 26 Sept
Western Sydney Wanderers
5 : 1 Central Coast
12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0 Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2 Central Coast
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1 Central Coast
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0 Central Coast
Page 1 of 6
10 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Brisbane Roar
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Perth Glory
14 Mar
Central Coast
1 : 1 Adelaide Utd
28 Feb
Central Coast
0 : 0 Newcastle Jets
22 Feb
Central Coast
3 : 2 Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
Macarthur FC
(Away) 22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0 Macarthur FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3 Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0 Macarthur FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3 Macarthur FC
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
