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Central Coast vs Tupapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2025 National Stadium, Honiara
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Oreinima H.
11'
Tuteru S.
22' Event
Leslie B.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2025 game between Central Coast and Tupapa finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Central Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Central Coast
15%
Draws
26%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tupapa come out ahead of Central Coast on wins alone.
  • Central Coast are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 18%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Coast Tupapa
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.75 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.44 3.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 OFC Champions League
Central Coast vs Tupapa
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Oreinima H.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Leslie B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tupapa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Coast 85 / 100
Tupapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Coast Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Coast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Central Coast scored in 69% of their last 16 outings.

Tupapa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Central Coast has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Central Coast VS Tupapa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Coast

(Home)
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
ABM Galaxy
2 : 3
Central Coast
16 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 2
Central Coast
13 Aug
Central Coast
3 : 0
Venus
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2
Auckland City
Page 1 of 4

Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Tiga Sport 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Pirae 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Rewa 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2025 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PNG Hekari 3 2 1 0 13:1 7
2 Ifira Blackbird 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Central Coast 3 1 1 1 8:4 4
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2025 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)