Sport Picks
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Palermo, Montevideo 
Match Events
12'
12'
Franca S.
24'
24'
Daguerre D.
27'
27'
Hernandez A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Central Esp. and Cerro Largo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerro Largo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Central Esp. carry the better recent record into this one.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Cerro Largo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Central Esp. Clean Sheet 25%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Central Esp. | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
1:3
Sep 22, 2018 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
0:0
Apr 28, 2018 Segunda Division
Cerro Largo vs Central Esp.
1:0
Nov 15, 2017 Segunda Division
Cerro Largo vs Central Esp.
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Central Esp. Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Cerro Largo Compare
Top Goalscorer Daguerre D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Central Esp. 33 / 100
Cerro Largo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Central Esp. Cerro Largo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cerro Largo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Central Esp. scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Cerro Largo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Central Esp. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Central Esp. VS Cerro Largo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Central Esp.
(Home) 28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0 Central Esp.
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
16 Aug
Penarol
2 : 1 Central Esp.
08 Aug
Central Esp.
1 : 0 Progreso
02 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 0 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
08 Aug
Central Esp.
1 : 0 Progreso
02 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 0 Liverpool M.
25 Jul
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Cerro Largo
06 Jun
Central Esp.
1 : 1 Racing Montevideo
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Cerro Largo
(Away) 30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
26 Aug
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
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26 Aug
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
01 Aug
Penarol
3 : 0 Cerro Largo
25 Jul
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Cerro Largo
08 Jun
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Cerro Largo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
