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Central Esp. vs Juventud - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Mendez I.
53' Event
Tarragona R.
61' Event
Tarragona R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Central Esp.
20%
Draws
80%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Juventud have won more games recently than Central Esp..
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Juventud taking it.
  • Juventud arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Central Esp. Clean Sheet 11%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Esp. Juventud
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Central Esp. vs Juventud
3:0
Aug 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Juventud
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Central Esp.
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Central Esp.
0:1
Jun 10, 2022 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Juventud
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Esp. Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarragona R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Juventud Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Esp. 10 / 100
Juventud 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Esp. Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Esp.'s goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Juventud conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Juventud's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Central Esp. VS Juventud
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Esp.

(Home)
18 Oct
Danubio
1 : 0
Central Esp.
15 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 6
Danubio
11 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Club Nacional
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0
Juventud
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0
Racing Montevideo
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0
Juventud
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)