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Central Esp. vs Juventud - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Tarragona R.
41'
Rodriguez I.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez A. In: Mimbacas F.
Out: Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

Juventud in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Central Esp.
35%
Draws
55%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Central Esp..
  • Model gives Juventud a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Central Esp. Clean Sheet 16%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Esp. Juventud
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Central Esp. vs Juventud
3:0
Aug 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Juventud
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Central Esp.
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Central Esp.
0:1
Jun 10, 2022 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Juventud
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Esp. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Esp. 10 / 100
Juventud 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Esp. Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Esp. found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Juventud let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Central Esp. has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Central Esp. VS Juventud
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Esp.

(Home)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0
Juventud
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 9 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)