Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Central Norte vs Ferro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Central Norte Logo

Central Norte

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Ferro Logo

Ferro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Central Norte host Ferro in the Primera Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Central Norte have averaged 0.69 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Ferro's 1.1 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Ferro slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.56 - 0.94) back Ferro to edge this. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Central Norte
35%
Draws
43%
Ferro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Central Norte haven't matched Ferro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Central Norte a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Norte Ferro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 14 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Central Norte
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Norte 46 / 100
Ferro 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Norte Ferro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Norte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Central Norte scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Ferro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Central Norte VS Ferro
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Norte

(Home)
04 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Racing Cordoba
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

Ferro

(Away)
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
27 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1
Ferro
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)