Sport Picks
Central SC vs Maranhao
Brazil
Serie D 2025 Estadio Luiz Jose de Lacerda, Caruaru 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D 2025 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maranhao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Central SC have won more games recently than Maranhao.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Maranhao taking it.
- Central SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Central SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Central SC Clean Sheet 29%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Central SC | Maranhao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2025 Serie D
Central SC vs Maranhao
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Serie D
Maranhao vs Central SC
2:1
Jun 2, 2019 Serie D
Maranhao vs Central SC
4:3
May 12, 2019 Serie D
Central SC vs Maranhao
3:0
Oct 14, 1979 Serie A Betano
Central SC vs Maranhao
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Central SC 22 / 100
Maranhao 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Central SC Maranhao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maranhao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Central SC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Maranhao conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Recent resilience: Central SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Central SC VS Maranhao
0.43 Goals Scored 0.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
43% Over 1.5 25%
14% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Central SC
(Home) 28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1 Ferroviario
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1 Laguna RN
29 May
America RN
1 : 0 Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0 Central SC
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21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1 Ferroviario
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1 Laguna RN
17 May
Central SC
0 : 0 Maguary
10 May
Central SC
0 : 1 ABC
19 Apr
Central SC
2 : 1 Sousa
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Maranhao
(Away) 29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1 Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1 Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0 Maranhao
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29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Maranhao
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0 Maranhao
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0 Maranhao
15 Jun
Maringa FC
0 : 0 Maranhao
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lagarto 2
Central SC 3
Tuna Luso 3
Maranhao 4
ASA 3
Ferroviario 0
Manauara 2
Sampaio Correa 1
AE Altos 8
Independencia Futebol Clube 2
Santa Cruz 4
Sergipe 3
America RN 3
Juazeirense 1
Imperatriz 3
Manaus FC 2
Portuguesa 1
Mixto 2
Cianorte 5
Joinville 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4
FC Cascavel 0
Ceilandia 2
Agua Santa 1
Aparecidense 4
Marica 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Internacional de Limeira 2
Marcilio Dias 1
Rio Branco ES 3
Luverdense 0
1/8-finals
Central SC 1
Maranhao 2
ASA 1
Manauara 0
AE Altos 1
Santa Cruz 2
America RN 1
Imperatriz 0
Mixto 1
Cianorte 3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2
Ceilandia 1
Aparecidense 3
Goiatuba EC 4
Internacional de Limeira 1
Rio Branco ES 0
Quarter-finals
Maranhao 4
ASA 0
Santa Cruz 2
America RN 1
Cianorte 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
Goiatuba EC 0
Internacional de Limeira 1
Semi-finals
Maranhao 0
Santa Cruz 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 5
Internacional de Limeira 2
Final
Santa Cruz 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2
