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Central Stallions vs Deren

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Central Stallions Logo

Central Stallions

0 - 3
FT
Deren Logo

Deren

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Usukh-Ireedui B.
55' Event
Usukh-Ireedui B.
90' Event
Enkhbayar M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Central Stallions and Deren finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Central Stallions
15%
Draws
44%
Deren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Central Stallions come out ahead of Deren on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Central Stallions taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Central Stallions Clean Sheet 13%
Deren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Stallions Deren
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 21 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.78 2.74
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Central Stallions vs Deren
0:3
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Central Stallions
2:0
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Central Stallions
1:2
Oct 30, 2025 Premier League
Central Stallions vs Deren
1:0
Jul 2, 2025 Premier League
Central Stallions vs Deren
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Stallions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Usukh-Ireedui B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Enkhbayar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Stallions 75 / 100
Deren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Stallions Deren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Stallions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Stallions found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Deren conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Central Stallions stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Central Stallions VS Deren
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Stallions

(Home)
26 Sept
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
21 Sept
Khovd
0 : 6
Central Stallions
17 Sept
Central Stallions
3 : 0
Hunters
12 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 2
Central Stallions
11 Aug
Central Stallions
2 : 3
Taiwan Steel
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Deren

(Away)
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Central Stallions
0 : 3
Deren
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 23 17 3 3 82:20 54
2 Central Stallions 23 14 5 4 60:26 47
3 Deren 23 14 3 6 70:25 45
4 Khangarid 22 10 4 8 68:34 34
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)