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Central Union vs 1 de Mayo

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Copa Simon Bolivar game between Central Union and 1 de Mayo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1 de Mayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Central Union
40%
Draws
29%
1 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Central Union have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — 1 de Mayo are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Simon Bolivar fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Central Union Clean Sheet 11%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Union 1 de Mayo
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Central Union
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs 1 de Mayo
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Union 30 / 100
1 de Mayo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Union 1 de Mayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1 de Mayo let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

1 de Mayo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Central Union scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Central Union VS 1 de Mayo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310