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Central United vs Eastern Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central United in this Chatham Cup 2012 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Central United
15%
Draws
34%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Central United have won more games recently than Eastern Suburbs.
  • Model gives Central United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Central United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Central United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Central United Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central United Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 18 14
Draws 0 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.6 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2012 Chatham Cup
Central United vs Eastern Suburbs
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central United 38 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central United Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central United scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Eastern Suburbs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Central United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Central United

(Home)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Miramar 4
Stop Out SC 0
Dunedin 1
Western AFC 0
Three Kings 2
Central United 3
Melville 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Caversham 4
Cashmere Technical 2
Manukau City 2
Papatoetoe 1
Birkenhead 4
Hamilton 1
Lower Hutt City 2
Napier City 0
Quarter-finals
Miramar 5
Dunedin 1
Central United 2
Eastern Suburbs 0
Caversham 3
Manukau City 1
Birkenhead 2
Lower Hutt City 3
Semi-finals
Miramar 0
Central United 6
Caversham 0
Lower Hutt City 4
Final
Central United 6
Lower Hutt City 1