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Central United vs Onehunga

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Sun, Sep 10, 2017
3 - 4
03:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Onehunga in this Chatham Cup 2017 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Central United
15%
Draws
42%
Onehunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Central United lately — more wins on the board than Onehunga.
  • Win probability leans Central United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Central United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Onehunga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Central United Clean Sheet 17%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central United Onehunga
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 19 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 2.5 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2017 Chatham Cup
Central United vs Onehunga
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central United 41 / 100
Onehunga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central United Onehunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central United's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Central United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Onehunga conceded in 57% of 14 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Central United VS Onehunga
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Central United

(Home)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 7

Onehunga

(Away)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4