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Stadium Background

Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Fresno State Soccer Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Smuck Z. In: Midence A.
Out: Smuck Z.
33'
Carrera J.
39'
Scarlett Z.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One 2024 game between Central Valley Fuego and Greenville Triumph finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Central Valley Fuego.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Central Valley Fuego
40%
Draws
29%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Greenville Triumph's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Central Valley Fuego have produced (0).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Valley Fuego Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Central Valley Fuego
2:2
Oct 5, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph
1:2
Jun 18, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph
0:1
Apr 19, 2023 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Central Valley Fuego
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Benson Bodden D. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Greenville Triumph Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Valley Fuego 32 / 100
Greenville Triumph 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Valley Fuego Greenville Triumph

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Valley Fuego scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Greenville Triumph let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Greenville Triumph lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Greenville Triumph
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118