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Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville

USA USA

USL League One 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kelly-Rosales A.
31'
Carrera J.
34'
Sub
Gomez E. In: Cromwell R.
Out: Gomez E.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One 2024 game between Central Valley Fuego and One Knoxville finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Central Valley Fuego
6%
Draws
90%
One Knoxville
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • One Knoxville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on One Knoxville taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors One Knoxville here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 17%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Valley Fuego One Knoxville
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 25
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego
2:1
May 18, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville
0:2
Jul 30, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville
0:1
Apr 30, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville
0:1
Apr 12, 2023 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly-Rosales A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tekiela K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Valley Fuego 10 / 100
One Knoxville 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Valley Fuego One Knoxville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Valley Fuego scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

One Knoxville let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Central Valley Fuego stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS One Knoxville
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118