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Stadium Background

Central Valley Fuego vs Spokane Velocity

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Fresno State Soccer Stadium, Fresno, CA
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Match Events

5' Event
Vinberg S.
Assist: John-Brown S.
28'
Dolling J.
40'
Torr C.

AI Match Summary

Central Valley Fuego in this USL League One 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Central Valley Fuego.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Central Valley Fuego
40%
Draws
29%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity have won more games recently than Central Valley Fuego.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Central Valley Fuego have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 19%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Valley Fuego Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Spokane Velocity
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Central Valley Fuego
3:2
Jul 20, 2024 USL Cup
Central Valley Fuego vs Spokane Velocity
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 USL Cup
Spokane Velocity vs Central Valley Fuego
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinberg S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Spokane Velocity Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Valley Fuego 32 / 100
Spokane Velocity 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Valley Fuego Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spokane Velocity conceded in 80% of 40 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Central Valley Fuego scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Central Valley Fuego stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spokane Velocity
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Valley Fuego

(Home)
26 Oct
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Central Valley Fuego
20 Oct
Central Valley Fuego
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
15 Oct
One Knoxville
2 : 1
Central Valley Fuego
10 Oct
Central Valley Fuego
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
03 Oct
Central Valley Fuego
0 : 1
Northern Colorado
Page 1 of 6

Spokane Velocity

(Away)
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2
Spokane Velocity
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Spokane Velocity
04 Jul
Fort Wayne
3 : 0
Spokane Velocity
02 Jul
Spokane Velocity
0 : 1
Forward Madison
25 Jun
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118
Promotion - USL League One 2024 (Play Offs)