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Centras Alytus vs Viltis Vilnius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2008/2009
Sat, May 10, 2008
3 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Lithuanian Cup 2008/2009. Centras Alytus go into this one as the clear favorite. Viltis Vilnius have shipped 2.95 goals a game lately, while Centras Alytus have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Centras Alytus slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2011, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.00 - 2.08) back Centras Alytus to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Centras Alytus
15%
Draws
42%
Viltis Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Centras Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Viltis Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Centras Alytus.
  • Centras Alytus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Viltis Vilnius arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Centras Alytus, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Centras Alytus Clean Sheet 10%
Viltis Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centras Alytus Viltis Vilnius
Matches Played 8 19
Wins 4 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.95
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2011 Lithuanian Cup
Centras Alytus vs Viltis Vilnius
2:1
May 10, 2008 Lithuanian Cup
Centras Alytus vs Viltis Vilnius
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centras Alytus 83 / 100
Viltis Vilnius 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centras Alytus Viltis Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Centras Alytus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viltis Vilnius has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

Centras Alytus found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Viltis Vilnius registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Centras Alytus VS Viltis Vilnius
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.67 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Centras Alytus

(Home)
14 Jun
Savanoris
3 : 0
Centras Alytus
26 Jun
Granitas Vilnius
4 : 1
Centras Alytus
05 Jun
Centras Alytus
2 : 1
Viltis Vilnius
08 May
Gariunai Vilnius
3 : 0
Centras Alytus
26 Aug
LiCS Vilnius
1 : 0
Centras Alytus
Page 1 of 2

Viltis Vilnius

(Away)
28 Apr
Viltis Vilnius
1 : 7
Dainava Alytus
08 May
Viltis Vilnius
1 : 2
Nevezis Kedainiai
30 May
Viltis Vilnius
1 : 6
Dziugas Telsiai
05 May
Granitas Vilnius
1 : 2
Viltis Vilnius
06 May
Tauras Taurage
2 : 1
Viltis Vilnius
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atlantas 1
LiCS Vilnius 0
TBD -
FBK Kaunas -
Tauras Taurage 1
Vetra 0
TBD -
Ekranas -
Silute 5
Jonava 1
TBD -
Zalgiris -
Siauliai 2
Banga 1
TBD -
Suduva -
Quarter-finals
Atlantas 0
FBK Kaunas 3
Tauras Taurage 2
Ekranas 0
Silute 3
Zalgiris 2
Siauliai 2
Suduva 7
Semi-finals
FBK Kaunas 1
Tauras Taurage 3
Silute 0
Suduva 6
Final
Tauras Taurage 0
Suduva 1