Sport Picks
Centre Chiefs vs Security Systems
Botswana
Premier League 2024/2025 Lobatse Stadium, Lobatse 
Match Events
8'
8'
Kubane D.
60'
60'
Moremi L.
86'
86'
Kesenogile T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Centre Chiefs and Security Systems finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Centre Chiefs.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Security Systems haven't matched Centre Chiefs's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Centre Chiefs have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Centre Chiefs Clean Sheet 20%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Centre Chiefs | Security Systems |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Centre Chiefs vs Security Systems
3:2
Oct 23, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs Centre Chiefs
0:3
Jan 19, 2019 Premier League
Security Systems vs Centre Chiefs
1:1
Oct 7, 2018 Premier League
Centre Chiefs vs Security Systems
2:1
Feb 17, 2018 Premier League
Security Systems vs Centre Chiefs
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Centre Chiefs Compare
Top Goalscorer Kubane D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moremi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Security Systems Compare
Top Goalscorer Kesenogile T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sande W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Centre Chiefs 32 / 100
Security Systems 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Centre Chiefs Security Systems
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Centre Chiefs found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).
Security Systems has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Difficult form: Security Systems registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Centre Chiefs VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Centre Chiefs
(Home) 16 Sept
Centre Chiefs
1 : 1 Tonota
11 Sept
Centre Chiefs
2 : 0 Nico United
29 Aug
Extension Gunners
1 : 0 Centre Chiefs
23 May
Extension Gunners
2 : 0 Centre Chiefs
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1 Gaborone Utd
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16 Sept
Centre Chiefs
1 : 1 Tonota
11 Sept
Centre Chiefs
2 : 0 Nico United
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1 Gaborone Utd
11 Apr
Centre Chiefs
1 : 0 Black Lions
17 Mar
Centre Chiefs
1 : 0 Matebele
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Security Systems
(Away) 24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3 Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1 Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2 Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1 Security Systems
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3 Security Systems
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2 Security Systems
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1 Security Systems
09 Apr
Matebele
0 : 1 Security Systems
06 Apr
VTM FC
3 : 0 Security Systems
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone Utd | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 56:23 | 66 |
| 2 | Tafic FC | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 51:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 59 |
| 4 | Jwaneng Galaxy | 30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 43:20 | 59 |
| 5 | Centre Chiefs | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 46:20 | 56 |
| 6 | Township Rollers | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 54 |
| 7 | Morupule | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:36 | 42 |
| 8 | Orapa United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:31 | 40 |
| 9 | VTM FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 36:33 | 35 |
| 10 | Nico United | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 18:32 | 32 |
| 11 | BDF XI | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:33 | 31 |
| 12 | Matebele | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:45 | 30 |
| 13 | Extension Gunners | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 25:48 | 29 |
| 14 | Security Systems | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 30:45 | 26 |
| 15 | Chadibe | 30 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 19:62 | 16 |
| 16 | Flamingo Santos | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 18:67 | 13 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
