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Cerceda vs Barbadas-Bentraces

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Cerceda and Barbadas-Bentraces finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cerceda
20%
Draws
48%
Barbadas-Bentraces
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barbadas-Bentraces

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barbadas-Bentraces come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Cerceda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barbadas-Bentraces have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 20%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Barbadas-Bentraces
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 0.67 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Barbadas-Bentraces
3:0
Oct 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Cerceda
3:2
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Cerceda
3:1
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Barbadas-Bentraces
0:1
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Cerceda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 76 / 100
Barbadas-Bentraces 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Barbadas-Bentraces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerceda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Barbadas-Bentraces let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Barbadas-Bentraces lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Cerceda's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barbadas-Bentraces
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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Barbadas-Bentraces

(Away)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
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