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Cerceda vs Lalin

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 game between Cerceda and Lalin finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Cerceda
30%
Draws
58%
Lalin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lalin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lalin are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 17%
Lalin Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Lalin
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.74 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Lalin
1:1
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs Cerceda
0:4
Feb 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Lalin
3:0
Sep 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs Cerceda
0:1
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs Cerceda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 15 / 100
Lalin 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Lalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lalin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lalin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cerceda scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Cerceda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerceda VS Lalin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.8
2 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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Lalin

(Away)
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
13 May
Xuventu Sanxenxo
0 : 1
Lalin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)