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Cerceda vs Pontevedra B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Cerceda and Pontevedra B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cerceda
30%
Draws
54%
Pontevedra B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontevedra B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontevedra B come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pontevedra B's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 20%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Pontevedra B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Pontevedra B
1:0
Dec 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Cerceda
1:1
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Pontevedra B
1:0
Aug 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Cerceda
2:1
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Cerceda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 12 / 100
Pontevedra B 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Pontevedra B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontevedra B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra B let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Cerceda found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Cerceda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pontevedra B
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

Pontevedra B

(Away)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)