Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerceda vs Villalonga

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerceda in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cerceda
20%
Draws
48%
Villalonga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villalonga lately — more wins on the board than Cerceda.
  • Model gives Cerceda a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 20%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Villalonga
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.79 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Villalonga
2:0
Sep 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Cerceda
0:2
Mar 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Villalonga
2:2
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Cerceda
1:0
Apr 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Villalonga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 40 / 100
Villalonga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Villalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerceda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villalonga conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Villalonga lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cerceda scored in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villalonga
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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Villalonga

(Away)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
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