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Cerdanyola del Valles vs L Hospitalet

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Cerdanyola del Valles play L Hospitalet in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerdanyola del Valles averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. L Hospitalet averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Cerdanyola del Valles won 0, L Hospitalet won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 4:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Cerdanyola del Valles and 2.13 for L Hospitalet. This points to a L Hospitalet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cerdanyola del Valles
35%
Draws
38%
L Hospitalet
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: L Hospitalet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerdanyola del Valles picked up more points recently compared to L Hospitalet.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Cerdanyola del Valles Clean Sheet 10%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerdanyola del Valles L Hospitalet
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 15 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs L Hospitalet
4:4
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Cerdanyola del Valles
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs L Hospitalet
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Cerdanyola del Valles
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 Club Friendly
L Hospitalet vs Cerdanyola del Valles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerdanyola del Valles Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz Naranjo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Marimon R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marin Lasso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerdanyola del Valles 26 / 100
L Hospitalet 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerdanyola del Valles L Hospitalet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: L Hospitalet or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cerdanyola del Valles attacking → ← attacking L Hospitalet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerdanyola del Valles scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

L Hospitalet let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Cerdanyola del Valles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

L Hospitalet lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 45
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CE Manresa34199655:3266
2CF Badalona341712543:2763
3Cornella34179850:3660
4CF Vilanova341511838:2756
5L Hospitalet341671155:3955
6FE Grama341412849:3554
7FC Lescala3412101251:5146
8Peralada3411131045:3946
9UE Tona341015935:3145
10CE Europa B341291344:5345
11Montanesa341191431:3942
12Mollerussa349131239:4340
13Vilassar de Mar349111436:3838
14San Cristobal CP348131339:4837
15Cerdanyola del Valles346161240:5334
16Can Vidalet34891735:5333
17UE Vic347111631:4732
18Lleida344131721:4625