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Stadium Background

Cerdanyola del Valles vs Vilassar de Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Cerdanyola del Valles and Vilassar de Mar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerdanyola del Valles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cerdanyola del Valles
20%
Draws
22%
Vilassar de Mar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerdanyola del Valles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilassar de Mar come out ahead of Cerdanyola del Valles on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cerdanyola del Valles taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cerdanyola del Valles Clean Sheet 68%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerdanyola del Valles Vilassar de Mar
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 14 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs Vilassar de Mar
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Cerdanyola del Valles
1:3
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Cerdanyola del Valles
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs Vilassar de Mar
0:2
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Cerdanyola del Valles
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerdanyola del Valles Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerdanyola del Valles 95 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerdanyola del Valles Vilassar de Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerdanyola del Valles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerdanyola del Valles's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vilassar de Mar conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Cerdanyola del Valles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerdanyola del Valles VS Vilassar de Mar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerdanyola del Valles

(Home)
27 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 2
Cerdanyola del Valles
20 Sept
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 0
FC Lescala
12 Sept
Cornella
3 : 1
Cerdanyola del Valles
06 Sept
Cerdanyola del Valles
0 : 0
CE Europa B
10 May
Can Vidalet
1 : 2
Cerdanyola del Valles
Page 1 of 6

Vilassar de Mar

(Away)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)