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Cerrado EC vs Jaragua

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Goiano 2 2022
Cerrado EC Logo

Cerrado EC

0 - 1
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Jaragua Logo

Jaragua

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaragua in this Goiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Cerrado EC
30%
Draws
8%
Jaragua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Cerrado EC average 0.85 goals a game right now, well clear of Jaragua's 0.67.
  • Model gives Cerrado EC a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado EC Jaragua
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 0.85 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Goiano 2
Cerrado EC vs Jaragua
0:1
Aug 27, 2022 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Cerrado EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado EC 85 / 100
Jaragua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado EC Jaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrado EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Cerrado EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jaragua lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Cerrado EC scored in 50% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrado EC VS Jaragua
1.33 Goals Scored 0
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 13%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado EC

(Home)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
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Jaragua

(Away)
21 Oct
Goiatuba EC
4 : 2
Jaragua
15 Oct
Jaragua
3 : 4
Anapolina
07 Oct
Jaragua
1 : 1
Santa Helena
04 Oct
Centro Oeste
4 : 0
Jaragua
30 Sept
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
2 : 1
Jaragua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inhumas 14 8 3 3 17:7 27
2 Goiania 14 8 1 5 14:11 25
3 Anapolina 14 6 6 2 16:10 24
4 Aparecida EC 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
5 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 5 2 7 23:21 17
6 Jaragua 14 4 4 6 10:12 16
7 Itumbiara 14 4 4 6 17:22 16
8 Cerrado EC 14 2 4 8 9:19 10
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