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Cerrado vs Nova Conquista

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 game between Cerrado and Nova Conquista finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cerrado
15%
Draws
42%
Nova Conquista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerrado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nova Conquista come out ahead of Cerrado on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nova Conquista a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Conquista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado Nova Conquista
Matches Played 17 23
Wins 4 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.76 1.09
Goals Conceded 2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2020 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs Nova Conquista
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado 10 / 100
Nova Conquista 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado Nova Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Conquista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Conquista let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Difficult form: Nova Conquista registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cerrado found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (17 games).

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cerrado VS Nova Conquista
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado

(Home)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

Nova Conquista

(Away)
12 Mar
Araguacema
3 : 1
Nova Conquista
06 Mar
Nova Conquista
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
02 Mar
Nova Conquista
0 : 1
Capital FC
26 Feb
Tocantins
0 : 2
Nova Conquista
19 Feb
Interporto
3 : 0
Nova Conquista
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 7 6 1 0 18:3 19
2 Interporto 7 5 1 1 20:5 16
3 Tocantinopolis 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
4 Araguacema 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
5 Capital FC 7 2 0 5 6:13 6
6 Nova Conquista 7 1 3 3 4:11 6
7 SD Sparta 7 1 1 5 4:9 4
8 Cerrado 7 1 1 5 4:21 4
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)