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Cerro Largo vs Atl. Tucuman

South America South America

Serie Rio de la Plata Estadio Charrúa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerro Largo play Atl. Tucuman in the Serie Rio de la Plata. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerro Largo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Atl. Tucuman averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, Cerro Largo won 0, Atl. Tucuman won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 13, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Cerro Largo and 1.26 for Atl. Tucuman. This points to a Atl. Tucuman double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cerro Largo
39%
Draws
31%
Atl. Tucuman
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Tucuman demonstrates higher offensive output (1.14 avg goals) than Cerro Largo (1 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie Rio de la Plata provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Largo Atl. Tucuman
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Serie Rio de la Plata
Cerro Largo vs Atl. Tucuman
1:2
Jan 15, 2024 Serie Rio de la Plata
Cerro Largo vs Atl. Tucuman
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Largo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sellecchia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atl. Tucuman Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Largo 41 / 100
Atl. Tucuman 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Largo Atl. Tucuman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Largo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Atl. Tucuman let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cerro Largo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Tucuman lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Largo VS Atl. Tucuman
1 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 0%