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Stadium Background

Cerro Largo vs Atl. Tucuman

South America South America

Serie Rio de la Plata Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sellecchia F.
23'
Correa L.
37'
Ortiz K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie Rio de la Plata game between Cerro Largo and Atl. Tucuman finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Tucuman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cerro Largo
30%
Draws
41%
Atl. Tucuman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Tucuman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Tucuman come out ahead of Cerro Largo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie Rio de la Plata form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 19%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Largo Atl. Tucuman
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Serie Rio de la Plata
Cerro Largo vs Atl. Tucuman
1:2
Jan 15, 2024 Serie Rio de la Plata
Cerro Largo vs Atl. Tucuman
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Largo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sellecchia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Atl. Tucuman Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Largo 36 / 100
Atl. Tucuman 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Largo Atl. Tucuman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Tucuman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cerro Largo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Cerro Largo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atl. Tucuman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Largo VS Atl. Tucuman
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Largo

(Home)
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
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Atl. Tucuman

(Away)
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
River Plate
07 Sept
Racing Club
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
30 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
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