Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción

Cerro Porteno

1 - 0

Junior

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Paez E.

37'

Rios J.

38'

Benitez A. G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%

Cerro Porteno

15%

Draws

12%

Junior

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence

Junior haven't matched Cerro Porteno's recent run of results.
Cerro Porteno are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cerro Porteno	Junior
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	14	11
Draws	4	6
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.26	1.33
Goals Conceded	0.89	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Cerro Porteno

0:1

Apr 14, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno vs Junior

1:0

Sep 20, 2017 Copa Sudamericana

Junior vs Cerro Porteno

3:1

Sep 13, 2017 Copa Sudamericana

Cerro Porteno vs Junior

0:0

Mar 15, 2000 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Cerro Porteno

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Junior Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 68 / 100

Junior 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cerro Porteno Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cerro Porteno scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Junior has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Junior lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS Junior

1.13 Goals Scored 1.75

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Porteno

(Home)

08 Aug

Sportivo Ameliano

1 : 0

Cerro Porteno

01 Aug

Cerro Porteno

3 : 0

Sp. Luqueno

28 Jul

2 de Mayo

2 : 1

Cerro Porteno

24 Jul

Cerro Porteno

1 : 2

Sportivo Trinidense

28 May

Cerro Porteno

2 : 0

Sporting Cristal

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Junior

(Away)

02 Aug

Junior

0 : 1

Millonarios

29 Jul

Barranquilla

4 : 3

Junior

26 Jul

Deportes Tolima

2 : 1

Junior

23 Jul

Junior

2 : 2

Barranquilla

08 Jun

Atl. Nacional

1 : 0

Junior

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