Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio Nu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa Paraguay Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción 
Match Events
31'
31'
Morel J.
67'
67'
Dominguez F.
69'
69'
Leiva T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerro Porteno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cerro Porteno lately — more wins on the board than Rubio Nu.
- Model gives Cerro Porteno a 73% chance of winning this.
- Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | Rubio Nu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio Nu
2:1
Sep 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio Nu
1:0
May 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio Nu
2:0
Mar 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Cerro Porteno
2:0
Aug 3, 2022 Copa Paraguay
Rubio Nu vs Cerro Porteno
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Morel J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dominguez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Rubio Nu Compare
Top Goalscorer Leiva T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Porteno 68 / 100
Rubio Nu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Porteno Rubio Nu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cerro Porteno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cerro Porteno scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Rubio Nu let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Cerro Porteno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Porteno VS Rubio Nu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Porteno
(Home) 30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
19 Aug
Cerro Porteno
0 : 1 Palmeiras
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Rubio Nu
(Away) 30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
25 Aug
General Caballero JLM
2 : 3 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
